{"id":3471,"date":"2022-12-17T09:04:16","date_gmt":"2022-12-17T08:04:16","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/info.vivendex.com\/?p=3471"},"modified":"2023-04-17T16:02:05","modified_gmt":"2023-04-17T15:02:05","slug":"ca-es-previsions-immobiliaries-2023","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/info.vivendex.com\/ca\/ca-es-previsions-immobiliaries-2023\/","title":{"rendered":"Previsions pel mercat immobiliari pel 2023"},"content":{"rendered":"
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Si b\u00e9 el futur del mercat immobiliari ha estat una inc\u00f2gnita durant l’\u00faltim trimestre del 2022, amb el 2023 molt a la vora, continua sent un tema que genera inc\u00f2gnites i debat a parts iguals. En aquest article, intentarem llan\u00e7ar una mica de llum sobre el futur del mercat immobiliari.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

<\/h1>\n

Qu\u00e8 ha passat amb l’immobili\u00e0ri durant el 2022?<\/h3>\n

L’any 2022 tancar\u00e0 marcat per la invasi\u00f3 russa a Ucra\u00efna, i els efectes que ha tingut en l’economia mundial: Un augment d’inflaci\u00f3 totalment desconegut en les economies m\u00e9s desenvolupades durant aquest mil\u00b7lenni, i la pujada de tipus per a intentar contenir aquesta inflaci\u00f3.<\/p>\n

Amb aquesta lectura inicial, el m\u00e9s normal seria pensar que en el 2023 hi haur\u00e0 una gran caiguda de transaccions, amb la conseg\u00fcent caiguda en els preus dels habitatges en concret i de l’immobiliari en general.<\/p>\n

Per\u00f2, el 2022 tamb\u00e9 es recordar\u00e0 per la forta caiguda de les borses, amb empreses que semblaven ancorades a les pujades, i que han vist com enguany queia la seva cotitzaci\u00f3 de forma molt pronunciada. Tamb\u00e9 per l’explosi\u00f3 del mercat de\u00a0Criptodivisas, arrossegat per l’abrupta caiguda de la companyia\u00a0FTX\u00a0que ha provocat que el mercat d’inversi\u00f3 sigui molt inestable<\/span> i que, per conseg\u00fcent, molts inversors hagin entrat en p\u00e0nic.<\/p>\n

I on ens porta aix\u00f2? Com sempre, al valor refugio per antonom\u00e0sia, sobretot a Espanya: el ma\u00f3.<\/p>\n

Qu\u00e8 li espera al mercat immobiliari el 2023?<\/h3>\n

Tenint en compte aquests precedents, i sense obviar el canvi clar en els preus dels diners, tot fa pensar que l’any 2023, es produir\u00e0 un descens<\/span> clar en les transaccions. Segons creuen els experts, una xifra pr\u00f2xima al 10-15%.<\/p>\n

Xifres bastant factibles si tenim en compte que la previsi\u00f3 de tancament de compravenda d’habitatges en l’exercici 2022, est\u00e0 per sobre dels 600.000 habitatges venudes.<\/span> Aquest descens estimat, encara ens deixa prop dels 550.000 habitatges venudes en 2023,<\/span> valors molt pr\u00f2xims als tancaments l’any 2019 (569.993 habitatges venuts segons dades de Foment). En resum, un nivell molt bo de transaccions.<\/p>\n

I qu\u00e8 passar\u00e0 amb els preus? Les \u00faltimes dades presentades, xifraven l’esfor\u00e7 mitj\u00e0 dels espanyols per a accedir a l’habitatge en aproximadament un 31% dels seus ingressos. Encara dins de \u201cla normalitat\u201d, si els preus de les hipoteques continuen augmentant, com sembla que succeir\u00e0 encara que sigui de manera lleu, tamb\u00e9 augmentar\u00e0 l’esfor\u00e7. Sobretot, de les rendes m\u00e9s moderades. Aqu\u00ed ser\u00e0 on podrem veure un ajust en els preus.<\/p>\n

El gran problema amb el lloguer<\/h3>\n

Per\u00f2 tenim un altre problema, i \u00e9s que, encara que les diferents administracions semblen tenir el focus posat en ell, si veiem els resultats, \u00e9s clar que fan tot el contrari al necessari per a resoldre-ho. I aquest problema, \u00e9s el mercat del lloguer.\u00a0<\/span><\/p>\n

Si es dificulta l’acc\u00e9s a la compra d’habitatges, el normal \u00e9s despla\u00e7ar aquesta demanda al mercat de lloguer. No obstant aix\u00f2, com els preus del lloguer estan alt\u00edssims i les pol\u00edtiques d’habitatge semblen estar disminuint l’oferta i augmentant els preus, es genera la tempesta perfecta. Dif\u00edcil acc\u00e9s al mercat de compra, dif\u00edcil acc\u00e9s al mercat del lloguer, quin resultat puc tenir?<\/p>\n

Dif\u00edcil de preveure, per\u00f2 tot apunta que ajudar\u00e0 a mantenir estables els preus sense grans baixades a curt termini.<\/p>\n

Previsions de futur<\/h3>\n

Si la guerra d’Ucra\u00efna continua allargant-se, si el Govern Central aconsegueix un acord en la pol\u00edtica de lloguers, hi ha algun canvi significatiu que realment fomenti l’oferta i amb aix\u00f2, la contenci\u00f3 dels preus. O si pel contrari, tal com va succeir a Catalunya, es limiten les rendes, fent desapar\u00e8ixer gran part del mercat…<\/p>\n

Sigui com sigui, tal com est\u00e0 la situaci\u00f3 dels mercats financers, la qual cosa \u00e9s clar \u00e9s que el mercat immobiliari ser\u00e0 un bon refugi per als nostres estalvis futur<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Si b\u00e9 el futur del mercat immobiliari ha estat una inc\u00f2gnita durant l’\u00faltim trimestre del 2022, amb el 2023 molt a la vora, continua sent un tema que genera inc\u00f2gnites i debat a parts iguals. En aquest article, intentarem llan\u00e7ar una mica de llum sobre el futur del mercat immobiliari.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":3474,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"inline_featured_image":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[117],"tags":[149,150,185],"class_list":["post-3471","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-actualitat","tag-costos-de-comprar-pis","tag-costos-de-vendre-pis","tag-preu-de-lhabitatge"],"yoast_head":"\nPrevisions pel mercat immobiliari pel 2023<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"En aquest article, intentarem llan\u00e7ar una mica de llum sobre el futur del mercat immobiliari.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/info.vivendex.com\/ca\/ca-es-previsions-immobiliaries-2023\/\" 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